Autoimmune Hepatitis, Horseshoes and Hand Grenades

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“Close don’t count in baseball. Close only counts in horseshoes and hand grenades.” –Frank Robinson 1973.

This study used the the International Autoimmune Hepatitis Group retrospective registry (IAIHG-RR), a web-based platform. This retrospective, observational, multicenter study analyzed 2559 patients; however, only 1700 had adequate follow-up. A complete biologic response (CBR) was defined as normalization of aminotransferases and serum IgG within 6 months; only 706 had serial results of these parameters to assess for a CBR.

Key findings:

  • Among the 706 with adequate data, 68.5% achieved a CBR.
  • Non-White ethnicity (HR 4), cirrhosis (HR 3.5), variant syndrome with primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) (HR 3.1), and lack of complete biochemical response within 6 months (HR 5.7) were independent prognostic factors.
  • Patients with a CBR had a greater actuarial survival over a 20-year period (91%) compared to those without a CBR (61%). Lack of a CBR at 6 months conferred a 3.6-fold higher risk of progression to cirrhosis.
  • Even in patients with cirrhosis, a CBR increased long-term survival: 82% versus 34%.

My take: A CBR is associated with the best long-term outcomes. My suspicion is that a biochemical response is actually similar to horseshoes. Improvement with treatment is likely beneficial but not as good as hitting the stake (the target).

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