For a single individual, the burden of obesity can be enormous; for a society, the projected costs for health and economics are hard to fathom (Lancet 2011; 378: 815-25).
By 2030, this report projects that there will be 65 million more obese adults in the US and 11 million more in the UK. This is expected to cause an additional 6-8.5 million cases of diabetes, 5.7-7.3 million cases of heart disease/stroke, about 500,000 cases of cancer, and loss of 26-55 milion life years. The medical costs are estimated to increase $48-66 billion/year in the US.
These projections are based on expected increases in the percentage of individuals who are obese. In 2008, approximately 32% of US adult men were obese based on BMI; in 2030, the projected number is 50-51% for men. Among US women: 35% in 2008 –> 45-52% in 2030.
To flatten the curve on spending, we will need to look at flattening other curves.
- A liver disease tsunami
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