Shared Decision-Making in Celiac Disease Diagnostic Approach

Y Sunkoy, S Talathi. Am J Gastroenterol 2025; 2190-2193. Utility of the ESPGHAN Biopsy-Sparing Guidelines for Celiac Disease in Children

Thanks to Ben Gold for this reference.

Methods: Retrospective study of patients (n=2942 children) who had celiac serologies and duodenal biopsies

Key findings:

  • Prevalence of CD in this cohort was 9% (226 of 2942 patients)
  • In those with a high titer (>10xULN), 106 of 107 patients (99%) had celiac disease
  • In this cohort, even in those with with >7XULN, had a Sensitivity of 55.3%, a specificity of 99% and a PPV of 97%

In their discussion, the authors note that “we did not obtain an EMA in a second sample, which is recommended in the ESPGHAN guidelines.”

Associated commentary: Erica Brenner, American Journal of Gastroenterology 120(9):p 1985-1986. The No-Biopsy Approach for Pediatric Celiac Disease: Ready for Prime Time in North America?

  • “Shiha et al (8) found that the PPV ranged from 65% for a 1% CD prevalence to a 99% for a 40% prevalence. As the 9% CD prevalence in the study by Sunkoj et al (4) exceeds the 0.81$-1.4% prevalence in the United States (9), the reported PPV may overestimate reality.” (Related post: No-Biopsy Approach to Celiac Disease Diagnosis and Positive Predictive Value (Based on Population)
  • “Children with type 1 diabetes and trisomy 21 have a higher risk of false-positive serology and therefor may not be appropriated candidates for a no-biopsy approach.”

My take: A larger recent study (Chang et al. Pediatrics. 2025;156(3):e2025070897) found that the no-biopsy approach had a significantly lower PPV in their cohort (94.9% overall, and 95.7% in those without T1DM). Thus, in cohorts with lower prevalence of CD, the no-biopsy approach could lead to 2-4% of children being placed unnecessarily on a gluten free diet. As such, it would be good practice to discuss making a diagnosis via endoscopy vs. the no-biopsy approach as part of shared decision-making.

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