Graphic Ads Motivate Smokers to Quit

From NY Times (coverage of Lancet article), those graphic anti-smoking ads seem to be helping.
http://nyti.ms/18RT9Kq

An except:

For almost two decades, Lisha Hancock smoked between one and two packs of cigarettes a day…..

Then she saw a graphic television commercial featuring a former smoker, Terri Hall, who developed head and neck cancer. The widely seen advertisement shows Ms. Hall inserting a set of false teeth and placing a small speaker inside a hole in her neck.

“It scared me because I had always had problems with my throat,” said Ms. Hancock, 38, who lives in Kentucky. “When I saw that, it made me realize that there are other types of cancer besides lung cancer, and that really hit home for me.”

The ad prompted her to give up smoking about eight months ago, using a combination of an exercise and healthful eating regimen along with nicotine lozenges, and she has not had a cigarette since. But Ms. Hancock may be just one of thousands of Americans who quit smoking after seeing the commercial featuring Ms. Hall, which was part of a series of antismoking ads put out by the federal government last year. The campaign, called Tips From Former Smokers, was notable both for its raw images and because it marked the first time that the government directly attacked the tobacco industry in paid, nationwide advertisements.

According to a new study published on Monday in The Lancet, the ads may have prompted more than 100,000 Americans to give up smoking for good. (emphasis added by blog)

The study, led by a team at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, surveyed 5,300 Americans before and after the campaign, including 3,000 smokers. The paid ads ran for three months beginning in March, just after the New Year resolution season, when the percentage of smokers trying to quit is typically on the decline.

The researchers found that over all, four of five of smokers had seen the commercials, and the percentage who reported trying to quit rose by 12 percent. Of those who tried to quit, about 13 percent remained abstinent after the campaign had ended.

Using census data, the researchers estimated that as many as 1.6 million smokers nationwide attempted to quit as a result of the ad campaign. Most smokers require several attempts before they give up cigarettes for good, so only a fraction of those who were motivated by the campaign would have succeeded. The ads were expected to spur about 50,000 smokers to quit permanently, but the Lancet study estimated that twice that number were successful….

Historically, about half of the nation’s 45 million smokers try to quit every year, and yet cessation rates hover around 5 percent annually. Public health officials have long been telling smokers that cigarettes shave years off your life, contributing to more than 400,000 deaths every year.

The new campaign went in a different direction, focusing not on death but on quality of life. The creators of the campaign used focus groups and feedback from smokers to develop sobering ads showing real smokers with amputations, paralysis and disfigurement from heart and lung surgeries.

“I think the fact that you may die is not highly motivating to people,” Dr. Frieden said. “The fact that the remainder of your life may be very unpleasant is, and that’s what the data shows. Not only do smokers die about ten years younger than most people, but they feel about ten years older than their age.”

The campaign last year cost about $54 million and was paid for by the Affordable Care Act. …. Dr. Frieden said the money, which is only a fraction of the $8 billion the tobacco industry spends on marketing and promotion every year, was well spent.

“This is a campaign that has literally saved tens of thousands of lives,” he said. “We would like to be able to have hard-hitting campaigns like this on the air year round. The tobacco industry spends what we spent on this campaign in three days.”

Related blog posts:

Smoking-related mortality

“The time is always right to do what is right.”  Martin Luther King

When it comes to almost any situation, including smoking cessation, this quote is probably appropriate.  The hazards of smoking are detailed in recent several articles/editorial (NEJM 2013; 368: 341-350, 351-64, 389-90).

In the first article, the authors reviewed smoking-cessation histories from 113,752 women and 88,496 men.  All participants were older than 25 years and interviewed between 1997-2004.  These participants were from a cohort in U.S. National Health Interview Survey (NHIS).  The NHIS is a nationally representative cross-sectional health survey.

The second study involved large populations from the Cancer Prevention Study I (CPS I) which started in 1959 and CPS II which started in 1982.  These were prospective studies followed the mortality associated with smoking.  In all, the populations of these two studies exceeded 1.2 million.

What were the key findings?

1. The benefits of smoking cessation were noted in all age groups.  Those who quit between 25-34 years of age lived 10 years longer.  Those who quit between 35-44 years of age lived 9 years longer. Those who quit between 45-54 years of age lived 6 years longer. Those who quit between 55-64 years of age lived 4 years longer.

2. Smokers mortality worsened compared to the general population over a 50-year period. During the three time periods (1959-65, 1982-88, 2000-10), the mortality dropped by 50% in the overall study population.  However, female smokers mortality remained unchanged and male smokers experienced only a 24% reduction.

Specific hazard ratios (HR) for a large number of conditions are detailed in these studies.  For example, among men, the HR for death due to lung cancer was 24.97 in the contemporary cohort.  Due to the nature of these large cohorts, there are many limitations and it is difficult to draw conclusions about a specific threshold in terms of amount of smoking.  However, the conclusions may actually underestimate the effects of smoking due to undersampling of certain high risk populations, like incarcerated persons and those with mental illness.

The editorial notes that more women die from lung cancer than breast cancer.  Yet, due to smoking’s stigma, there are no ‘race for the cure’ promotions.  In addition, increasingly smoking is a behavior concentrated in persons of lower social status.  As such, it “risks becoming invisible to those who set health policies and research priorities.”

Even Nick Naylor might consider a career change if he read these studies (Thank You for Smoking (film) – Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia).

For the smoking skeptics

How bad is secondhand tobacco smoke (SHS)?  This has been debated.  When I come out of an office room and the entire room smells of smoke, even though no one has smoked in the room, I know this is detrimental.  More proof of this comes from an article which shows that SHS is associated with an increase in the severity of children hospitalized with influenza (J Pediatr 2013; 162: 16-21).

In this study of 117 children, 40% were exposed to SHS.  They had increased need for intensive care (30% vs. 10%), increased intubation (13% vs. 1%), and longer length of stay (LOS) (4 days vs. 2.4 days). In children with chronic conditions, the LOS was 10 vs. 3.5.  After controlling for multiple variables, the authors found that SHS exposure was associated with a 4.7 fold increase in the likelihood of ICU admission and a 70% LOS.

This study had many limitations.  It was a retrospective chart review.  Patients between 2002-2009 were identified initially by the discharge diagnosis of influenza.  Among the 171 charts identified, 117 had a positive influenza culture and adequate data to retrieve.  As a retrospective review, it is possible that screening for smoke exposure was more common in the more severely affected cases.

Additional references:

More bad news for smokers

Add two more cancer risks for tobacco smoke (Gastroenterology 2012: 142: 233-40, 242-47).  There is now evidence linking tobacco smoke to 18 different cancers and tobacco smoke is probably the most preventable cause of death in the world.

In the first study, the investigators examined 3167 patients with Barrett’s esophagus.  This retrospective study followed patients for 7.5 years.  Patients who were current smokers (any form of tobacco) had double the risk of developing high-grade dysplasia or cancer compared to those who had never smoked.  Former cigarette smokers had a hazard ratio of 1.53.

In the second study, 386 patients with Lynch syndrome were analyzed during a 10 month period.  The hazard ratio for developing colorectal adenomas was 6.13 for current smokers and 3.03 for former smokers compared with patients who never smoked.  In addition, the authors identified a trend for developing adenomas based on pack-years.

Two more reasons to quit smoking.  On a side note, my grandmother said quitting smoking was the easiest thing that she ever did.  So easy, she did it a thousand times.

Additional references:

  • -Gastroenterolgy 2005; 129: 1825-31.  1.6% incidence of BE in adult Swedish population. Alcohol & smoking increase risk.
  • -NEJM 2011; 365: 1222. Treating smokers -useful review.
  • -NEJM 2011; 365: 1193. Cytisine -inexpensive- helps with smoking cessation (8.4% success vs 2.4%in placebo)
  • -NEJM 2008 358; 2249. Smoking and role of social networks.
  • -Gastroenterology 2011; 141: 2000. Lower risk of Barrett’s in pts taking NSAIDs & statins. n=570.
  • -Gastroenterology 2011; 141: 1179. Lower risk of Barrett’s in pts with low-grade dysplasia than previously noted -similar to non-dysplastic Barrett’s.
  • -NEJM 2011; 365: 1375. Large Danish study, n=11028. Lower incidence of Barrett’s than previous estimates. Relative risk of 11.3 compared to general population for adenoca of Esophagus with absolute annual risk of 0.12%. Barrett’s patients have the same life expectancy as general population (ed. pg 1437). Detecting cancer only ~1 in 1460 scopes with screening whereas Barrett’s detected in 10% of pts.
  • -Gastroenterology 2011; 140: 1084. AGA statement on Barrett’s . Recs screening only in those with multiple risk factors (age 50, male, chronic GERD, white, incr BMI)
  • -NEJM 2005; 352: 1851. Cases of Lynch can be missed when following screening guidelines.
  • -Gastroenterology 2010; 138: 207-2177 (entire issue) Colon cancer, Lynch syndrome
  • -Gastroenterology 2008; 135: 380.  Review of colon cancer screening and prevention -2008 up-to-date- literature review
  • -Gastroenterology 1967; 53: 517-27.  Seminal article.  Lynch HT showed gene-related cancer in family cancer syndrome -different than polyposis syndromes.