What is the risk of colon cancer in IBD?

Some recent studies have shown that colorectal cancer complicating IBD may not be as common as previously thought or may be decreasing in incidence (Gastroenterology 2012; 143: 375-81 & Gastroenterology 2012; 143: 382-89 ).

The first study used a nationwide cohort of 47,374 Danish patients with IBD over a 30-year period.  During a 178 million person-years of follow-up evaluation, 268 patients with ulcerative colitis (UC) and 70 patients with Crohn’s disease (CD) developed colorectal cancer (CRC).  The risk was comparable to the general population (RR 1.07)!  Furthermore, the relative risk for CRC decreased over sequential time periods: 1.34  (1979-88) to 0.57 (1999-2008).

Increased risk:

  • UC diagnosed in childhood or adolescence
  • longer disease duration
  • patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis

Their conclusion, ‘the overall risk of CRC in patients with UC has decreased markedly over time and no longer exceeds that of the general population, at least in the first decade after diagnosis.”  And, based on their data, patients with Crohn’s disease are not at increased risk for CRC.

The second study from California used a large Kaiser Permanente database from 1998-June 2010.  29 cancers were identified in CD (n=5603) and 53 in UC (n=10,895) patients.  The incidence per 100,000 for CRC was 75 for CD, 76 for UC, and 47 for general population.

These authors conclude that there is an increased risk of CRC in a community-based IBD population between 1998-2010 despite advances in medical treatment.

To understand the discrepancy of these reports, the same issue provides an editorial (page 288).  My take is that the current incidence of CRC is lower than in previous reports but that the risk factors identified in the Danish cohort (see above) likely remain important.

Additional references:

  • -Gastroenterol 2009; 136: 718. 22% of cancers occurred before recommended surveillance in adults (only 9% if exclusion of patients who had IBD and cancers diagnosed at same time).
  • Colon Cancer Survival Calculator http://www.mayoclinic.com/calcs-Gastro 2010; 138: 207-2177 (entire issue)
  • -JAMA 2009; 302: 649. Aspirin use likely increases survival after dx of colon cancer. Commentary-Gastro 2010;138: 2012.
  • -NEJM 2009; 361: 2449. molecular basis of colorectal cancer
  • -Gut 2008; 57: 1246. IBD and colon cancer
  • -IBD 2007; 4: 367. 5ASA Rx did not reduce rate of cancer in large study of UC/CD -review of 18,000 colorectal cancer cases. IBD increased risk of CRC 6-7-fold..
  • -Clin Gastro & Hep 2006; 4: 1346. aminosalicylates reduce CRC.
  • -Gastroenterol 2006; 130: 1030, 1039, 1350. 600 patients followed for 35 yrs: CRC by colitis duration: 2.5% @ 20yrs, 7.6% @ 30yrs, 10.8% @ 40yrs. 5 year survival was 73% among those with cancer. 2nd study showed main CRC risk in UC pts is among those with extensive colitis.
  • -Clin Gastro & Hepatol 2004; 2: 1088. Lower cancer risk in this cohort, n=1460. CRC 0.4 @10yrs, 1.1% @ 20yrs, 2.1% @ 30yrs. Lower CRC may be due to more surgery in Rx failures & use of 5-ASA.
  • -Clinical perspectives in Gastro 1999; 2: 9 & 25. (review) surveillance/ overview take 4 bx q10cm. start p 8yrs in pancolitis & 15yrs for left-sided dz. Cancer risk: ~5% at 20yrs + 1%/yr p 20yrs in pancolitis.
  • -Gastroenterol 2003; 125: 1311. Advancement of dysplasia to cancer in UC.

Aspirin prophylaxis for colorectal cancer?

A recent article in The Lancet has provided additional information about the use of aspirin for cancer prevention, especially colorectal cancer (Rothwell PM et al. Lancet 2012; published online March 21. DOI: 10: 1016/S0140-6736 (11)61720-0).  In the commentary on this article (DOI: 10: 1016/S0140-6736 (11)61654-1), the potential benefits of aspirin are placed into context and previous studies are reviewed.  In short, the data from a number of studies suggest that aspirin lowers the risk of cancer.

In Rothwell’s study, which pooled data from 51 randomized trials, aspirin at any dose reduced the risk of non-vascular death by 12% and cancer death by 15%.   Benefit was seen within 3 years for high-dose (>300 mg/day) and after 5 years for low doses (<300 mg).  The cumulative numbers of patients in the reviewed studies was approximately 40,000 in each arm.  These studies were divided and examined under separate categories to assess primary prevention for vascular events and to assess effects on cancer deaths.

Yet, these encouraging results though have not been seen in several large randomized trials; the editorial notes that “the Women’s Health Study (WHS) of 39,876 women treated with alternated day 100 mg aspirin over 10 years and the Physicians’ Health Study (PHS) of 22,071 men treated with alternate-day 325 mg aspirin for 5 years.  After 10-12 years of folllow-up, aspirin was not associated with reduced risk of colorectal cancer.”  In addition, as noted in previous post, ( Who needs aspirin?/Arch Intern Med 2012; 119: 112-8) a large study with over 100,000 patients also did not show reduction in mortality from vascular or non-vascular events.

Whether alternate-day dosing of aspirin (in WHS and PHS studies) undermines its efficacy in preventing cancer is not clear.  Until more data are available, aspirin for chemoprevention is best-suited for those with increased cancer risk (eg. history of colorectal cancer & hereditary cancer syndrome) and low risk of GI bleeding.  Rates of bleeding due to aspirin are about 4% per year and for serious bleeding about 2% per year. In addition, other adverse effects, including macular degeneration, have been reported with aspirin use (Ophthalmology 2012; 119: 112-8).

Additional references:

  • Link to pdf copy of cited article:http://extremelongevity.net/wp-content/uploads/asa-ca.pdf
  • -Lancet 2011; 377: 31-41. Aspirin effect on cancer mortality -decreased by 30-40% (esophageal, gastric, pancreatic, colorectal)
  • -Lancet 2010; 376: 1741 – 1750. Long-term effect of aspirin on colorectal cancer incidence and mortality: 20-year follow-up of five randomised trials. Lowers risk of colon Ca.
  • -JAMA 2009; 302: 649. Aspirin use likely increases survival after dx of colon cancer.
  • -Gastro 2010;138: 2012. Commentary on aspirin for decreasing risk after diagnosis of colon cancer.
  • -NEJM 2007; 356: 2131, 2195. Aspirin can decrease high-expressing COX-2 colon adenoca; not recommended as routine prophylaxis at this time

More bad news for smokers

Add two more cancer risks for tobacco smoke (Gastroenterology 2012: 142: 233-40, 242-47).  There is now evidence linking tobacco smoke to 18 different cancers and tobacco smoke is probably the most preventable cause of death in the world.

In the first study, the investigators examined 3167 patients with Barrett’s esophagus.  This retrospective study followed patients for 7.5 years.  Patients who were current smokers (any form of tobacco) had double the risk of developing high-grade dysplasia or cancer compared to those who had never smoked.  Former cigarette smokers had a hazard ratio of 1.53.

In the second study, 386 patients with Lynch syndrome were analyzed during a 10 month period.  The hazard ratio for developing colorectal adenomas was 6.13 for current smokers and 3.03 for former smokers compared with patients who never smoked.  In addition, the authors identified a trend for developing adenomas based on pack-years.

Two more reasons to quit smoking.  On a side note, my grandmother said quitting smoking was the easiest thing that she ever did.  So easy, she did it a thousand times.

Additional references:

  • -Gastroenterolgy 2005; 129: 1825-31.  1.6% incidence of BE in adult Swedish population. Alcohol & smoking increase risk.
  • -NEJM 2011; 365: 1222. Treating smokers -useful review.
  • -NEJM 2011; 365: 1193. Cytisine -inexpensive- helps with smoking cessation (8.4% success vs 2.4%in placebo)
  • -NEJM 2008 358; 2249. Smoking and role of social networks.
  • -Gastroenterology 2011; 141: 2000. Lower risk of Barrett’s in pts taking NSAIDs & statins. n=570.
  • -Gastroenterology 2011; 141: 1179. Lower risk of Barrett’s in pts with low-grade dysplasia than previously noted -similar to non-dysplastic Barrett’s.
  • -NEJM 2011; 365: 1375. Large Danish study, n=11028. Lower incidence of Barrett’s than previous estimates. Relative risk of 11.3 compared to general population for adenoca of Esophagus with absolute annual risk of 0.12%. Barrett’s patients have the same life expectancy as general population (ed. pg 1437). Detecting cancer only ~1 in 1460 scopes with screening whereas Barrett’s detected in 10% of pts.
  • -Gastroenterology 2011; 140: 1084. AGA statement on Barrett’s . Recs screening only in those with multiple risk factors (age 50, male, chronic GERD, white, incr BMI)
  • -NEJM 2005; 352: 1851. Cases of Lynch can be missed when following screening guidelines.
  • -Gastroenterology 2010; 138: 207-2177 (entire issue) Colon cancer, Lynch syndrome
  • -Gastroenterology 2008; 135: 380.  Review of colon cancer screening and prevention -2008 up-to-date- literature review
  • -Gastroenterology 1967; 53: 517-27.  Seminal article.  Lynch HT showed gene-related cancer in family cancer syndrome -different than polyposis syndromes.

Holes in the fiber theory

Since the 1970s, it has been accepted that diverticular disease is related to low fiber intake and the Western diet.  Problem is that this might not be right (Gastroenterology 2012; 142: 205-10).  In this observational cross-sectional study (n=2104), low dietary fiber was not associated with diverticulosis; just the opposite.  High fiber intake, after adjusting for other factors, had an adjusted prevalence ratio of 1.3.  Due to the nature of the study, there may be potential bias that would not be present with a prospective study, especially with regard to dietary recall.  An editorial in the same issue (pg 205-07) lists three other studies; two of these also could not demonstrate a protective effect of fiber.  In addition to these findings, this study did not find an association between fat, red meat, physical activity and diverticulosis.

Although these data throw a big question mark regarding the pathogenesis of diverticular disease, this does not mean you should throw away your fiber bars quite yet.  Although low fiber may not cause diverticular disease, several large prospective studies have been completed which convincing show an association with lower complications/hospitalizations among individuals with higher fiber intake.  In addition, increased fiber in the diet has been shown to lower cardiovascular complications.

Additional references:

  • -Br Med J 1971; 2: 450-54.  Seminal article on diverticular disease and association with Western countries with low fiber intake.
  • -Am J Clin Nutr 1994; 60: 757-64.  Prospective study showing benefits of fiber in preventing diverticular complications (n=47,888); RR=0.58 for developing symptomatic diverticulitis.
  • -BMJ 2011; 343: d4131.  EPIC study, n=47,033, showing benefit of fiber in reducing hospitalizations due to diverticular dz over 12yrs (0.59 RR)
  • -NEJM 1999; 340: 169. fiber does not decrease Colon Ca risk.
  • -NEJM 2000; 342: 1149 & 1159. fiber does not decrease risk of recurrent adenomas.
  • -Am J Clin Nutr 2000; 70: 1433-1438. Fiber lowers cholesterol & can decrease risk of heart attack by 15%.