EXCEPTIONal Outcomes and Liver Allocation

A recent study (Hepatology 2015; 61: 285 & editorial 28-31) takes a closer look at US liver organ allocation and outcomes.

The editorial notes that our allocation in the US is targeted towards “need.” Since February 2001, the MELD score was adopted with “the stated aim of reducing deaths on the waiting list.”  Other potential aims:

  • Equity –so any one who might benefit from a graft has an equal chance and a first-come, first-served approach is adopted
  • Utility –organs are allocated to the recipient who is likely to have the best outcomes
  • Benefit –organs are allocated to the patient who has the greatest benefit, so taking into account the risks of dying with and without a transplant
  • Fairness — ‘an ill-defined combination of all the approaches’

The editorial notes that “despite the concerns the approach has been highly effective in achieving its goal in reducing waiting list mortality.”

“Like any system, it can be manipulated and, given the life-saving nature of transplantation, it is scarcely surprising that both legal and illegal methods have been adopted to artificially raise the MELD score and distort allocation.”

The study reviewed 78,595 adult liver transplant candidates (2005-2012).  27.3% of the waiting list was occupied by candidates with exceptions.

Candidates with exceptions fared much better on the waiting list compared to those without exceptions in mean days waiting (HCC 237 versus non-HCC 426), transplantation rates (HCC 79.1% versus non-HCC 40.6%), and waiting list death rate (HCC 4.5% versus non-HCC 24.6%).

The editorialists recommend that “we should consider diverting some of the resources used to develop and implement a perfect allocation scheme into increasing the number of donors and livers used for transplant and, in the longer term, finding treatments and interventions that will render liver transplantation a treatment of historic interest.”  Now that’s a lofty goal.

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Liver Update -January 2015

Briefly noted:

1. Gastroenterology 2014; 147: 1327-37 (editorial 1216-18).  “Probiotic VSL#3 reduces liver disease severity and hospitalization in patients with cirrhosis: a randomized, controlled trial.” 66 patients received VSL#3 (9 x 10 to the 11th bacteria), 64 patients received placebo -both groups studied for 6 months. Treatment with lactulose and rifaximin were withdrawn a week prior to study entry. Key findings: ‘fewer hospitalizations for severe encephalopathy, better quality of life, and decreases in Child-Turcotte-Pugh class and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease.’  Hazard ratio for preventing hospitalization with VSL#3 was 0.52. However, the findings did not show that VSL#3 reached a statistically-significant reduction in recurrence rate for hepatic encephalopathy. No adverse events were noted.

2. NY Times: Gilead sued over cost of Sovaldi.

3. N Engl J Med 2014; 371:2375-2382.  Link to abstract: Interferon-free Antiviral Regimen for HCV after Liver Transplantation:  “Treatment with the multitargeted regimen of ombitasvir–ABT-450/r and dasabuvir with ribavirin was associated with a low rate of serious adverse events and a high rate of sustained virologic response among liver-transplant recipients with recurrent HCV genotype 1 infection, a historically difficult-to-treat population.

4. “Transplantation Traffic –Geography as Destiny for Transplant Candidates” NEJM 2014; 271: 2450-52.  Describes ongoing geographic inequality in organ distribution and obstacles to improving allocation.

5. Liver Transpl 2015; 21: 57-62. Immediate Extubation After Pediatric Liver Transplantation –feasible in 67% according to this retrospective review.

Local Law Office  --Truth in Advertising?

Local Law Office –Truth in Advertising?

HCV: When to Spike the Ball

When a team scores a touchdown in football, often one sees a player spike the ball in celebration.  The equivalent of spiking a ball rarely happens in medicine.  That being said, a recent study (Hepatology 2015; 61: 41-45) indicates that after treatment sofosbuvir regimens, you can celebrate if you have a sustained virological response (SVR) at 12 weeks (SVR12).

The authors conducted a retrospective review of five trials with 863 patients with HCV genotypes 1-6.  “Of the 779 patients with an SVR12, 777 (99.7%) also achieved an SVR24.” Of the patients who relapsed, most (77.6%) did so within 4 weeks of completing therapy.

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How Common is Hepatitis E in the U.S.?

In a recent study (Hepatology 2014; 60: 815-22), data from the National Health and Nutrition Evaluation Survery (NHANES) 1988-94 was compared with the NHANES 2009-2010 with regard to Hepatitis E virus (HEV) epidemiology.  In addition, the most recent surgery coupled with a high performance HEV assay.  A total of 8,814 individuals were included in the analysis.

Key findings:

  • The seroprevalence of HEV was estimated at 6.0% in the U.S. which is only one-third as high as previous estimates.
  • Birth outside the U.S., Hispanic race, and increasing age were all factors associated with increased HEV seroprevalence.  The associations of hispanic origin and birth outside U.S. as risk factors disappear when age is taken into account.

Also noted: Hepatology 2014; 60: 1082-89.  “Liver transplantation in the management of porphyria” –useful review.

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Magnetic Resonance Elastography in Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

A recent study (Hepatolology 2014; 60: 1920-8) shows that magnetic resonance (MR) elastography can be an accurate noninvasive tool to assess liver fibrosis.

Background: Assessing severity of liver fibrosis provides important prognostic information in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD); however, these patients are often obese which decreases the success of transient elastography.  In addition, high hepatic fat content may alter the results of transient elastography.  Hence, an alternative noninvasive technique is desirable.

Design: Prospective study with 117 consecutive patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD who also underwent 2D-MR elastography between 2011-2013.

Results:

  • Fibrosis stage: stage 0 n=43, stage 1 n=39, stage 2 n=13, stage 3 n=12, stage 4 n=10.
  • MR elastography identified stage 3-4 with an accuracy of 0.92, with little overlap between advanced (F3-4) and non-advanced (F0-2) values.  The specificity, sensitivity, positive/negative predictive values, and cutoff values are detailed in Table 2.
  • Figure 3 provides a cool picture demonstrating the different MR elastography stiffness heat maps correlated with liver fibrosis. Link to similar web-based image from Siemens.

Bottomline: This technology allows a noninvasive measure of liver fibrosis in NAFLD patients and will probably be of use in other liver conditions.  Given the fact that a liver biopsy is more risky and often expensive, this technology and other noninvasive markers of advanced liver disease will be important tools.

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What is the Role of Ursodeoxycholic Acid in Primary Sclerosing Cholangitis?

While previous studies of ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) at high doses (28-30 mg/kg/day) have been shown to have detrimental effects, a number of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) have shown that low-dose UDCA has been associated with biochemical improvements but no differences in endpoints like death, liver transplantation or cholangiocarcinoma.  Given this conflicting information, a new study (Hepatology 2014; 60: 931-40, editorial 785-88) has examined the effects of withdrawal of low-dose UDCA.

In this cohort, the median age was 34 years, “62% were male, 69% had IBD, 19% had cirrhosis, and the baseline UDCA dose was 10-15 mg/kg/day.”

Key findings:

  • “At 3 months, discontinuation of UDCA in patients with PSC causes significant deterioration in liver biochemistry and influences concentrations of bile acid metabolites.”
  • Alkaline phosphatase increased 75.6%, GGT increased 117.9%, bilirubin increased by 50%, aspartate aminotransferase increased by 45.0%, and alanine amiontransferase increased by 63.9%
  • The Mayo Risk Score for PSC (associated with PSC prognosis) also increased 0.5 points from baseline.

Conclusion (from editorial): “there may still be a role for judicious use of UDCA in patients with well-compensated disease.”  A suggested “yet unproven” algorithm for use of UDCA is noted in Figure 1 pg 787 and considers UDCA for patients with alkaline phosphatase >1.5x ULN and/or PSC-associated symptoms like pruritus.  If no clinical improvement within 6 months, then stopping UDCA is recommended.

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PEG vs Lactulose in Hepatic Encephalopathy

In a study (JAMA Intern Med. Published online September 22, 2014. doi:10.1001/jamainternmed.2014.4746) with 50 participants, PEG was more effective than standard therapy of lactulose for hepatic encephalopathy.  PEG vs Lactulose (HELP study) Abstract.

Here’s an excerpt:

Design, Setting, and Participants  The HELP (Hepatic Encephalopathy: Lactulose vs Polyethylene Glycol 3350-Electrolyte Solution) study is a randomized clinical trial in an academic tertiary hospital of 50 patients with cirrhosis (of 186 screened) admitted for HE.

Interventions  Participants were block randomized to receive treatment with PEG, 4-L dose (n = 25), or standard-of-care lactulose (n = 25) during hospitalization…

Results  Thirteen of 25 patients in the standard therapy arm (52%) had an improvement of 1 or more in HESA score, thus meeting the primary outcome measure, compared with 21 of 23 evaluated patients receiving PEG (91%) (P < .01)… The median time for HE resolution was 2 days for standard therapy and 1 day for PEG (P = .01). Adverse events were uncommon, and none was definitely study related.

Conclusions and Relevance  PEG led to more rapid HE resolution than standard therapy, suggesting that PEG may be superior to standard lactulose therapy in patients with cirrhosis hospitalized for acute HE.

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John Snow and Hepatology Potpouri

If you mention the name “John Snow,” I bet most people would think about one of the characters from Game of Thrones.  However, a more important John Snow is referenced in a recent Hepatology review (Hepatology 2014; 60: 1124-25).  “In 1855, the physician and epidemiologist John Snow used the technique of medical geography to stem the cholera epidemic in London.  By mapping the number of choleras case and the local water supply, he found that the Broad Street pump station was responsible and after the pump handle was removed, incident cases declined.”

Hepatology 2014; 60: 1150-59, editorial 1124-25.  Using spatial (clustering) epidemiology, the authors show that parenteral antischistosomal therapy (PAT) alone cannot explain the high HCV prevalence in Egypt.  Other iatrogenic exposures and poor infection control are likely contributing factors.

Hepatology 2014; 60: 1222-30, editorial 1130.  In a prospective study (western Europe), the authors show that vitamin D (25-OH) levels were inversely associated with the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).  What is remarkable about this study is the levels were obtained on average 6 years before HCC diagnosis.  Also, this study uses tertiles -comparing those in the top third to those in the lowest third.

Hepatology 2014; 60: 1399-1408.  More data showing injury from Herbals and dietary supplements.  Liver injury caused by bodybuilding herbal supplements (often anabolic steroids) were typically less severe than liver injury induced in non-bodybuilding herbals (predominantly middle-aged women). Table 3 identifies by name many of the herbal supplements/dietary supplements associated with death or liver transplantation.  “Contrary to popular belief, this study demonstrates that HDS products are not always safe.”

Wrongful Conviction: HCV Acquitted of Causing Diabetes & a Word on Ebola

First about Ebola –here’s the Ebola recommendation from the NEJM editors regarding quarantine:

An excerpt:

The governors of a number of states, including New York and New Jersey, recently imposed 21-day quarantines on health care workers returning to the United States from regions of the world where they may have cared for patients with Ebola virus disease. We understand their motivation for this policy — to protect the citizens of their states from contracting this often-fatal illness. This approach, however, is not scientifically based, is unfair and unwise, and will impede essential efforts to stop these awful outbreaks of Ebola disease at their source, which is the only satisfactory goal…We should be honoring, not quarantining, health care workers who put their lives at risk not only to save people suffering from Ebola virus disease in West Africa but also to help achieve source control, bringing the world closer to stopping the spread of this killer epidemic.

Take-home message: Read the entire editorial why quarantine is not the right approach for asymptomatic returning health care workers.

Direct Ebola Risk to Health Care Workers

Direct Ebola Risk to Health Care Workers

Now in followup to yesterday’s post about HCV and diabetes:

Even Perry Mason would have had a difficult time proving hepatitis C virus (HCV) did not cause diabetes until a recent publication (Hepatology 2014; 60: 1139-49, editorial 1121-23).

In this study using population-based data from the U.S. National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) with 15,128 adult participants, the authors show that the prevalence of diabetes and prediabetes did not differ by HCV status.  The authors used standardized definitions for diabetes and prediabetes and adjusted for major confounders.  The authors did note a relationship between elevated alanine aminotransferase (ALT) with diabetes regardless of HCV status.  In their cohort, 56.7% had normal glucose, 32.8% had prediabetes, 3.2% had undiagnosed diabetes, and 7.3% had diagnosed diabetes.  The mean age progressively increased in these groups: 40.8 years, 51.9 years, 58.9 years, and 59.2 years respectively.

Among those with diabetes, 10.5% were HCV RNA-negative and 12.0% were HCV RNA-positive –unadjusted for ALT values; the unadjusted HCV antibody status was nearly identical at 10.5% and 10.2% respectively. After adjustment, the OR for being HCV RNA-positive was 1.06 (P=0.53) with confidence limits of 0.59-1.90.

In examining the evidence, the editorial and the discussion review previous evidence of a significant association between HCV infection, insulin resistance, and diabetes.  The odds ratio for this association (HCV and diabetes) was estimated to be about 1.7.  The problems with this association were the following:

  • Much of the work was reported from tertiary care centers
  • Advanced liver disease (of any type) is a well-established risk factor for type 2 diabetes (T2DM)
  • Many studies may have included patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease which is another risk factor for diabetes
  • These studies did not control for ALT values

Bottomline (from editorial): This study “calls one to reconsider the dogma on the role of IR [insulin resistance] in the pathogenesis of HCV infection and its association with T2DM.” If there is an association, it is much smaller than previous estimates.

Related blog post: Treating HCV Helps Diabetics | gutsandgrowth

Telaprevir-Based HCV Therapy is Expensive Too

With the arrival of newer expensive hepatitis C virus (HCV) therapies, there has been an effort to prove that the costs are within reason.  One study (Hepatology 2014; 60: 1187-95) looking at this issue examines the cost of a sustained virological response (SVR) with the previous best therapy: Telaprevir-Based Triple Therapy.

Design: Records from 147 patients who received telaprevir-based triple therapy in 2011 were reviewed.

According to the authors (supported by Gilead Sciences), median cost of care was $83,721 per patient and the median cost per SVR was $189,338.  The costs of two of the drugs, telaprevir and pegylated interferon, accounted for 85% of the total costs.  Other costs included adverse management (8%), ribavirin (4%), professional fees (2%), and laboratory fees (1%).

The main reason besides pharmaceutical prices for the high costs were the SVR rate of 44%.

Bottomline: If a patient requires HCV therapy, the newer, more effective, expensive agents are likely to compare favorably with the less new, less effective, expensive medications.

Related blog posts:

Also noted: Hepatology 2014; 60: 1211-21.  “WELCOME” Study tested whether 15-18 months of docosahexaenoic acid (DHA) plus eicosapentaenoic acid (EPA) decreased liver fat and histology in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). n=101, with 51 in treatment group. Findings the DHA+EPA had a “trend toward improvement in liver fat” percentage but no improvement in fibrosis.