Hepatitis C Cure: Too Late for Many

Before the recent vast improvements in hepatitis C virus (HCV) treatment, there had been a number of studies predicting a huge increase in HCV-related mortality due to hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and cirrhosis.

Despite the optimism that have come with the new treatments, the most recent data (LA Beste, et al. Gastroenterol 2015; 149: 1471-82) continue to predict a huge and increasing burden of chronic liver disease due to HCV.

The authors used a national retrospective cohort of Veteran Affairs (VA) patients with cirrhosis (n=129,998) or HCC (n=21,326) from 2001-13.  They identified an increasing proportion of cirrhosis and HCC during that timeframe.

Key findings:

  • From 2001 to 2013, cirrhosis prevalence nearly doubled (664 –>1058 per 100,000 enrollees) driven by HCV and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease; deaths due to cirrhosis also increased from 83 to 126 per 100,000 patient years
  • From 2001 to 2013, HCC incidence increased 2.5-fold from 17 to 45 per 100,000 patient-years and HCC mortality tripled from 13 to 37 per 100,000 patient-years.  HCC incidence was driven overwhelmingly by HCV.
  • Based on current trends, cirrhosis prevalence will peak in 2021 according to the authors, though they acknowledge that patients from the VA may not be representative of the population at large and that the study has inherent weaknesses due to computerized data collection in this retrospective study.

My take: Despite dramatic improvements in HCV treatment, sadly, it is still going to get a lot worse with regard to disease burden & mortality from HCV before it will improve.

Briefly noted: F Negro. Gastroenterol 2015; 149: 1345-60.  “Extrahepatic morbidity and mortality of chronic hepatitis C”  This review article discusses diabetes, cardiovascular manifestations of HCV, fatigue, cognitive impairment, mixed cryoglobulinemia, and non-hodgkin lymphoma.

Related blog posts:

Chattanooga Aquarium

Chattanooga Aquarium

Journals Supplanting Textbooks: Managing Liver Disease

Between Journals and online resources, textbooks are increasingly less useful.  Case in point -this past month, Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology published a special issue: The Art and Science of Managing Liver Disease.  Some of the articles are excellent reviews.

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With autoimmune hepatitis (AIH), the authors make a number of useful points and concisely summarized diagnosis and management.  A few points:

  • Anti-soluble liver antigen/liver-pancreas (SLA/LP) and Asialoglycoprotein receptor (ASGPR) useful in diagnosis of AIH type 1 or 2 and is prognostic for severe disease.
  • In U.S. current guidelines suggest an azathioprine dose of 50 mg (for adults) whereas in Europe the dose is typically 1-2 mg/kg/day.  The authors suggest that the U.S. guidelines could lead to undertreatment, particularly with increasing rates of obesity.
  • The authors state that routine “testing for TPMT deficiency before AZA treatment of AIH is unnecessary, because severe TPMT deficiency occurs in 0.3%-0.5% of the general population and does not invariably cause AZA-induced bone marrow toxicity.” [I will probably continue to check TPMT activity.] They do recommend TPMT testing in cirrhotic patients and those with cytopenias.
  • The authors note that successful long-term withdrawal can occur in 19-40% but recommend biochemical remission (>12-24 months) and histologic remission.  They caution against withdrawal in patients after a relapse due to increased risks of progression to cirrhosis and/or death.
  • When discussing alternative therapies, the authors note that mycophenolate mofetil (MMF) is typically effective for patients intolerant to AZA but not likely to work in AZA nonresponders.
  • Alternative agents reviewed included tacrolimus, cyclosporine, sirolimus/everolimus, rituximab, and infliximab.

Other topics in this issue included NAFLD, HCC, Varices, Hepatic encephalpathy, HBV, HCV, Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure, PSC and Malignancy, DILI, and noninvasive imaging for liver fibrosis.

Hepatitis C Prevalence Underestimated

A recent study (BR Edlin et al. Hepatology 2015; 62: 1353-63) provides data suggesting that Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection has been underestimated.

The number most commonly used is derived from the 2003-2010 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) which showed 3.6 million in the U.S. with antibodies to HCV and 2.7 million currently infected.

The authors performed a systemic review and note that ~1 million people were excluded from this survey including a large number at high risk for HCV: ~500,000 incarcerated people, and 220,000 homeless people.

Based on their analysis, they conclude that “the number of US residents who have been infected with hepatitis C is unknown but is probably at least 4.6 million…and of these, at least 3.5 million… are currently infected.”

Related blog posts:

HCV Guidelines

The AASLD-IDSA Recommendations for Hepatitis C Virus have been published (Hepatology 2015; 62: 932-954).  The entire report is accessible from hcvguidelines.org and from the link: HCV Guidance 2015. While having a hard copy is easy to work with, the HCVguidelines website is likely to remain more up-to-date.

A few recommendations to highlight:

  • #6. “Antiviral treatment is recommended for all patients with chronic HCV infection, except those with limited life expectancy due to nonhepatic causes (I-A)
  • #7. “If resources limit the ability to treat all infected patients immediately as recommended, then it is most appropriate to treat those at greatest risk of disease complications” (see Tables 3 and 4)
  • #8. “Use of noninvasive testing or liver biopsy is recommended in order to assess the degree of hepatic fibrosis and, hence, the urgency of immediate treatment. (I-A)”

Other Hepatology studies of interest, briefly noted:

Hepatology 2015; 62: 684-93.  Nucleos(t)ide analog “treatment does not increase the risk of renal and bone events in general.  Nucleotide analogs may increase the risk of hip fractures, but the overall event rate is low.”  This study examined 46,454 untreated chronic hepatitis B patients in comparison to 7,046 treated patients.

Hepatology 2015; 62: 715-25. This study looked at the safety of simeprevir and sofosbuvir in hepatitis C-infected patients.  “Adverse safety outcomes were similar to matched untreated controls, suggesting that safety events reflect the natural history of cirrhosis and are not related to treatment.”

Hepatology 2015; 62: 773-83. This study found that “NAFLD is independently associated with subclinical myocardial remodeling and dysfunction.”

Bruce Munro, Atlanta Botanical Gardens

Bruce Munro, Atlanta Botanical Gardens

Changing Narrative on Affordability of HCV Treatments

A recent commentary (J Chhatwal et al. Clin Gastroenterol 2015; 13: 1711-13) makes the point that HCV treatment is looking a lot better lately with regard to cost.

Key points:

  • “Sofosbuvir-based treatment in 2015, on average, costs 54% of the wholesale acquisition cost”
  • When considering the recent discounts, “the cost of treatment decreased to $56,000…and the cost per SVR decreased to $58,000.”  The cost of an SVR with the first generation protease inhibitors, boceprevir and teleprevir, has been estimated to have been $213,000.
  • “The discounted cost of treating 1 person with HIV in the United States is $315,000 in 2014 US dollars.” Thus, curing HCV which is more deadly, at 18% of the cost, looks more favorable.
  • More discounts and more competition are expected.

Bottomline: Based on these cost considerations, the authors state that HCV treatment should be used broadly and not solely in those with advanced fibrosis.

Related blog posts:

Atlanta Botanical Gardens

Atlanta Botanical Gardens

Lack of Survival Benefit With MELD Exception Points in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Briefly noted:

Another study also looks at transplant utility by showing the use of MELD exception points for hepatocellular carcinoma provides almost no survival benefit: K Berry, GN Ioannou. Gastroenterol 2015; 149: 669-80, editorial 531-34.    The article states that the “survival benefit of patients with HCC was similar to that of patients without HCC who had the same actual MELD score…a much lower mean 5-year survival benefit was achieved by providing liver transplants to patients with HCC (0.12 years/patient) than patients without HCC (1.47 years/patient).”

How is this possible?

When patients are transplanted at lesser illness acuity, it takes longer to achieve a transplant benefit because they can live longer without a transplant.  In essence, the survival clock starts ticking much later than the transplant date.

Why this is important (from editorial):

The proportion of patients undergoing liver transplantation for HCC has increased from “4.6% before the introduction of MELD exception to 16.5% currently.” And, “the results, put simply, suggest that allocating donor livers and performing liver transplantation in patients with HCC MELD exception points produces almost no survival benefit.”

My take: Liver allocation policies need to be modified.  This study suggests that prioritizing HCC patients does not make much sense.

Atlanta Botanical Garden

Atlanta Botanical Garden

HCV Update -Fall 2015

Briefly noted:

S Naggie et al. NEJM 2015; 373; 705-13.  Among patients coinfected with HIV-1 and HCV (genotypes 1 and 4), 12 weeks of ledpasvir and sofosbuvir resulted in a 96% sustained HCV virological response.

DL Wyles et al. NEJM 2015; 373; 714-25.  Among patients coinfected with HIV-1 and HCV (genotype 1), 12 weeks of daclatasvir plus sofosbuvir resulted in a 97% sustained HCV virological response.

HA Innes et al. Hepatology 2015; 62: 355-64. Review of a Scottish HCV clinical database showed that a sustained viral response was associated with a reduced liver mortality (adjusted Hazard Ratio 0.24), a reduced non liver mortality (aHR 0.24) and reduced behavioral events (eg. violence-related injury aHR 0.51).  The latter improvement suggests that HCV eradication leads to healthier lives.

Also, seeing as today is ICD-10 Rollout: ICD-10: Source for humor? | gutsandgrowth

View from Signal Lodge, Grand Tetons

View from Signal Lodge, Grand Tetons

Coffee and Caffeine Associated With Less Fibrosis Among Patients with Hepatitis C

Perhaps I need to start drinking coffee.  In the absence of smoking or alcohol, it is reported to have a number of benefits. A recent study (N Khalaf et al. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2015; 13: 1521-31) found that a “modest daily caffeine intake (as little as 100 mg) may protect against advanced hepatic fibrosis in men with chronic HCV infection.” This cross-sectional study of veterans with chronic HCV looked at 910 patients.  Patients were divided into controls with mild fibrosis (F0-F3) based on FibroSURE compared with those with F3/F4-F4 advanced fibrosis.  FibroSURE estimates are based on an algorithm which incorporates α2-macroglobulin, apolipoprotein A1, haptoglobin, total bilirubin, γ-glutamyl -transpeptidase, and alanine amiontransferase. Key findings:

  • Caffeinated coffee was higher among controls than those with advanced fibrosis (1.37 vs 1.05 cups/d, P=.038)
  • Overall caffeine ingestion was also higher in the controls; 66% of controls consumed >100 mg/day compared with 58% of those with advanced fibrosis.

Limitation: observaitonal, retrospective study with self-reported coffee/caffeine consumption. Related blog posts:

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NASH Update -September 2015

Briefly noted:

Obeticholic acid, a Farnesoid X Receptor Ligand, is being studied as a potential agent in nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH).  According to a recent study (Lancet 2015; 385: 956-65), patients assigned to receive obeticholic acid were more likely to have improved liver histology compared with placebo (50/110 [45%] compared with 23/109 [21%]).  The  obeticholic group had increase serum cholesterol and LDL cholesterol. This study looked at a subgroup of patients in the FLINT study who had undergone liver biopsies.

E Vilar-Gomez et al. Gastroenterol 2015; 149: 367-78. This prospective study of 293 patients with histologically-proven NASH were followed after undergoing lifestyle changes for 52 weeks. At week 52, 88 subjects (30%) had lost ≥5% of their weight.  Degree of weight loss was independently associated with improvements in all NASH-related histologic parameters (steatohepatitis, NAS activity score, and fibrosis.

G Lassailly et al. Gastroenterol 2015; 149: 379-88. Between 1994-2013, 109 morbidly-obese patients with histologically-proven NASH underwent bariatric surgery.  One year after surgery, NASH had disappeared from 85% of the patients.

P Angulo et al. Gastroenterol 2015; 149: 389-97. In this retrospective analysis of 619 patients with NAFLD (1979-2005), the authors noted that “fibrosis stage, but no other histologic features of steatohepatitis, were associated independently with long-term overall mortality, liver transplantation, and liver-related events.”