Masks Work -Here’s the Data

Open Access: MMWR: Effectiveness of Face Mask or Respirator Use in Indoor Public Settings for Prevention of SARS-CoV-2 Infection — California, February–December 2021

Methods: This interview-questionnaire study used a test-negative case-control design, enrolling persons who received a positive (case-participants) or negative (control-participants) SARS-CoV-2 test result, from among all California residents, without age restriction, who received a molecular test result for SARS-CoV-2 during February 18–December 1, 2021. A total of 652 case- and 1,176 control-participants were enrolled in the study equally across nine multi-county regions in California.

Limitations included the following:

  • This study did not account for other preventive behaviors that could influence risk (eg distancing)
  • This analysis relied on an aggregate estimate of self-reported face mask or respirator use across, for some participants, multiple indoor public locations
  • Estimates do not account for face mask or respirator fit
  • Data collection occurred before the expansion of the SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.529 (Omicron) variant
  • Face mask or respirator use was self-reported
  • Variability of exposures

COVID-19 Outcomes in U.S -Why It Has Been So Bad

NY Times (2/1/22): U.S. Has Far Higher Covid Death Rate Than Other Wealthy Countries

An excerpt:

Some of the reasons for America’s difficulties are well known. Despite having one of the world’s most powerful arsenals of vaccines, the country has failed to vaccinate as many people as other large, wealthy nations. Crucially, vaccination rates in older people also lag behind certain European nations.

The United States has fallen even further behind in administering booster shots, leaving large numbers of vulnerable people with fading protection as Omicron sweeps across the country...

Washington Post (2/1/22): Researchers are asking why some countries were better prepared for covid. One surprising answer: Trust.

An excerpt:

new study [Lancet] of pandemic preparedness across 177 countries and territories appears to have found a key element in Vietnam’s success: trust...

These factors were key for pre-coronavirus rankings such as the Global Health Security Index, which in 2019 listed the United States and Britain as most prepared for a catastrophic biological event, like a pandemic — and Vietnam 74th out of 117 countries.

Instead, better outcomes appear to have gone hand in hand with high levels of trust in government and other citizens. Perception of government corruption was correlated with worse outcomes. Researchers measured trust with polling data from the World Values Survey and Gallup...

The pandemic has “eroded trust in the government,” Bang Petersen said. “It actually seems as if the pandemic has worsened the problem that this study identified.”

AAP Policy: COVID-19 Vaccine for Children 5 Years and Older

FROM THE AMERICAN ACADEMY OF PEDIATRICS| POLICY STATEMENT. Open Access: COVID-19 Vaccines in Children and Adolescents. Committee on Infectious DiseasesPediatrics (2022) 149 (1): e2021054332.https://doi.org/10.1542/peds.2021-054332

Key points:

  • “The AAP recommends COVID-19 vaccination for all children and adolescents 5 years of age and older who do not have contraindications using a COVID-19 vaccine authorized for use for their age.”
  • “Children with previous infection or disease with SARS-CoV-2 should receive COVID-19 vaccination, according to CDC guidelines.”
  • “Given the importance of routine vaccination and the need for rapid uptake of COVID-19 vaccines, the AAP supports coadministration of routine childhood and adolescent immunizations with COVID-19 vaccines (or vaccination in the days before or after).”

Also, more data on vaccine effectiveness from Eric Topol’s Twitter feed):

Vaccines reducing Covid deaths by 99% and hospitalizations by 98% with vaccination and a booster

Genus Medical Technologies v FDA -Lack of Judicial Deference to FDA Expertise

A recent commentary (PJ Zettler et al. NEJM 2021; 385: 2409-2411. A Divisive Ruling on Devices — Genus Medical Technologies v. FDA) highlights another challenge facing the FDA’s role in regulating devices, especially as the definition of devices and medications becomes more murky.

Key points/excerpts:

  • In April 2021, however, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia decided, in Genus Medical Technologies v. FDA, that products meeting the FDCA’s definition of a device “must be regulated as devices”…The Genus case concerned a challenge to the discretion of the FDA to classify Genus Medical Technologies’ Vanilla SilQ line of diagnostic barium sulfate contrast agents as drugs rather than as devices…FDCA’s drug and device definitions overlap.
  • Ultimately, the D.C. Circuit Court held that products meeting both definitions must be regulated as devices because the FDCA’s “text unambiguously forecloses the FDA’s interpretation.” The court did not give the FDA so-called Chevron deference, a doctrine under which courts defer to an agency’s reasonable interpretation of a statute that it implements, if the statute is ambiguous.
  • Because technological innovation often outpaces legal change, we believe it could serve both public health and industry for the FDA to retain some discretion regarding the most appropriate regulatory pathways for anticipated and as-yet-unforeseen device classes… overly restricting the FDA’s flexibility to use its expertise could endanger important public health priorities, especially when there are compelling reasons why Congress permitted flexibility.
  • The Genus decision comes at the end of a decade of growing challenges to the FDA’s authority to regulate. From court decisions in the early 2010s that were sympathetic to arguments that FDA policies regarding off-label drug promotion violate the Constitution’s First Amendment, [and] to the political (and legislative) success of right-to-try laws

My take: This commentary shows the difficulties the FDA faces as the judiciary curtails its discretion. While the legislative branch could codify FDA authority, this is unlikely. As such, this will limit FDA oversight in some new medical products. When problems arise, it is likely that the FDA (not the courts) will be blamed despite the fact that their ability to regulate has been undermined.

Related blog posts:

Huntingdon Lake. Sandy Springs, GA

Omicron Data

This data from NY Times shows that deaths due to COVID-19 are following a familiar pattern and spiking about 3 weeks after a spike in cases; this time the spike is being driven by omicron cases. However, this wave may in fact have lower severity per case; with this current wave, the number of reported cases is probably undercounted by a greater degree than in previous spikes due to widespread availability of home testing and the likelihood of more asymptomatic cases. Thus, it could be that the death rate per case would/will be significantly lower if/when all cases are accounted for.

MMWR: COVID-19 Vaccine Safety 8.7 Million Doses in 5-11 year olds

MMWR: Open Access: COVID-19 Vaccine Safety in Children Aged 5–11 Years — United States, November 3–December 19, 2021

From Discusssion:

My take: Cardiac complications related to COVID-19 appear to be much more likely than adverse cardiac events due to vaccination.

Related blog post: Vaccination Reduces Risk of COVID-19 Associated MIS-C & New Quarantine Guidelines

Favorite Posts of 2021

I am happy to say that this is the last nightcall that I will have this year!

Today, I’ve compiled some of my favorite posts from the past year. I started this blog a little more than 10 years ago. I am grateful for the encouragement/suggestions from many people to help make this blog better. Also, I want to wish everyone a Happy New Year.

GI:

IBD:

LIVER:

Nutrition:

Other Topics:

Thanks to Jennifer

Vaccination Reduces Risk of COVID-19 Associated MIS-C & New Quarantine Guidelines

M Levy et al. JAMA. Published online December 20, 2021. doi:10.1001/jama.2021.23262. Open Access: Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome in Children by COVID-19 Vaccination Status of Adolescents in France

Key findings:

  • From September 1, 2021, to October 31, 2021, a total of 107 children with MIS-C were hospitalized in France…33 (31%) were adolescents eligible for vaccination
  • Among those with MIS-C, 0 had been fully vaccinated, 7 had received 1 dose with a median (IQR) time between vaccine injection and MIS-C onset of 25 (17-37) days, and 26 had not been vaccinated. The HR for MIS-C was 0.09 (95% CI, 0.04-0.21; P < .001) after the first vaccine dose compared with unvaccinated adolescent. Because there were no MIS-C cases in those who were vaccinated, an HR cannot be calculated in this group.
  • The study had limitations, including the low number of patients, use of national data to calculate HR without considering regional variations, and inability to control for individual risks of MIS-C, such as sex, race and ethnicity, and comorbidities

My take: This study indicates that COCID-19 vaccination likely results in a marked decrease in the risk of MISC-C. This finding provides an additional reason favoring vaccination in adolescents in terms of risk-benefit calculation for immunization.

12/27/21: CDC Updates and Shortens Recommended Isolation and Quarantine Period for General Population